Margaret Carlson made a comment on Meet the Press this morning about Hillary Clinton's image as a "scolding parent." I'd originally imagined writing an entire dialogue post with Clinton as Mom and the American voting public as the lovestruck teen tearfully exclaiming "But I love him!" before storming off to climb into Obama's T-Bird, but that there is pretty much the whole joke.
Anecdotally, because ten years removed from grad school I'm still violently allergic to actual research, I don't know any Democrats who support Clinton over Obama. Oh sure, they'd vote for her in the general election, but coupled with the fatalistic realization that anti-Hillary sentiment - irrational as it is - would probably be enough to give McCain the presidency.
Her cause isn't helped by seeing her supporters try to mealy-mouth their way out of adhering to the DNC agreement about the Michigan and Florida primaries, either.
People are excited about Obama, right or wrong. And let's not kid ourselves; Obama doesn't mark some great departure from moderate Democratic principles. He's a great speaker and all, but he's hardly Ron Paul to Clinton's Mike Huckabee. Unless Clinton does something to shake up the current state of affairs, and runs the table of remaining primaries, Obama's the nominee.
And with the exception of a few of the smaller primaries, I don't see anyone running anything. Ohio, Texas, and Pennsylvania are all too close to call (I think Obama wins OH and PA, Clinton TX, but neither by more than 4-5%). The real question, and what the Republicans are desperately hoping for (aside from a Clinton nomination, that is) is whether or not this can be decided before the convention.
Yup. The Valley didn’t turn out in ‘04, and they’re losing a fair amount of representation because of it.
You know one (and - in your life - very important) Democrat who’s voting for Hillary.
There’s a fascinating post at Burnt Orange Report that suggests that due to the way the delegates are apportioned, it’s possible that the popular vote will go to Clinton, and Obama will get more delegates.
Read the article for more, but the upshot is that it could be 49% Clinton - 41% Obama, +6 net Obama delegates.
Which would be wierd. But apparently South Texas didn’t come out for the 2004 primary and lost a bunch of delegates because of it.